Wednesday, March 31, 2010

Wenesday's Weather Thoughts

The fire weather threat was lessened today due to the fact that relative humidity was a bit higher and winds were not too gusty, though fire conditions did come close to the critical mark. In addition, highs were cooler over southern areas than I expected last night since the front I thought would stall over Greater Nebraska pushed further south into Kansas, so all areas shared in the cooler temperatures today.

That same front will push northward tonight as a warm front, and by tomorrow morning it will be situated over southern portions of Nebraska. It will then continue northward as an area of low pressure developing over northeastern Colorado moves northward over western parts of our viewing area. This will do three things: it will raise highs once again into the 70’s over the southern portions, allow humidity to drop to very dry levels over the south, and increase wind speeds. Therefore, the fire danger will be elevated once again, and Fire Weather Watches are already in effect for much of the viewing area except the far north and west.

By Friday, a cold front will cross the area bringing a threat of a few showers and thunderstorms, with a greater chance in areas east of RT. 83. Saturday then looks to be partly sunny with about average highs, and Easter Sunday is looking nice with sunshine and highs in the low 60’s.

Mike

Tuesday, March 30, 2010

Tuesday's Weather Thoughts

Warm and dry weather has already caused problems with a grassland fire just outside of North Platte today, and Fire weather conditions will remain elevated through Thursday, especially over southern portions of Greater Nebraska.

Highs reached the 80's in most areas today, and temperatures near 80 will occur again tomorrow mainly along and south of Interstate 80 as a cold front stalls over the area. North of this front, highs will be ten to fifteen degrees cooler than today, and humidity will increase a bit so the fire danger will lessen. However, southern areas will remain in a fire danger risk to the south of the front.

On Thursday, the front may move northward again and gusty winds may return so we may see the fire risk become extreme again. But by Friday, showers and thunderstorms should help bring the fire threat down substantially.

Easter Sunday is still looking fair with highs in the lower 60's.

Mike

Monday, March 29, 2010

Monday's Weather Thoughts

After a decent weekend, the weather today was very pleasant and Spring-like, and Tuesday will give us a taste of summer!

With sunshine and gusty southwest winds, highs today responded by getting into the mid and upper 70’s across the viewing area. Tonight will be mostly clear with lows in the upper 30’s so not a bad night overall. Tuesday will feature more in the way of sunshine, and highs will approach 80 or get into the low 80’s.

However, the fire weather threat is elevated due to the dry conditions, gusty winds and low relative humidity, and this same scenario will be present on Tuesday so caution is advised if you are doing anything outside that could ignite the grasslands. The wind speeds may be a bit less tomorrow which may lessen the threat, but overall the fire threat is elevated.

Changes will begin by Wednesday as a cold front presses into the area and stalls over Greater Nebraska by Thursday. This front and an area of low pressure developing over Panhandle Texas will likely bring some showers to the area beginning Thursday night and continuing into Friday night, and possibly Saturday morning over eastern areas. However, Easter Sunday is looking nice with sunshine and highs in the 60’s.

Mike

Friday, March 19, 2010

Friday's Weather Thoughts

Being a meteorologist can be a very humbling experience at times.

Well it's obvious that the snow I had predicted over most of Greater Nebraska never materialized, though the cold and wind certainly did as advertized. What happened?
I expected a band of snow to begin developing over the northern parts of our viewing area, i.e., Nebraska/South Dakota border around midnight last night. I then expected this band to grow and intensify as it slowly moved southeastward across Greater Nebraska during the overnight through the day today. This would have put much of the viewing area under moderate to heavy snow for several hours, and the accumulations would have ranged from 1 inch up north to maybe 6 inches in the Southwest.

However, the band did not begin to develop until much later by about four to six hours. In addition, it developed over our central zones and by the time the band intensified, it was too far to the south of most of our viewing area to provide significant accumulations. However, the extreme southwestern counties did see some heavier snow bands in places like Imperial, as did parts of Custer County. Some lightning was even detected further southeast around extreme southcentral Nebraska.
For tonight, expect nothing more than some passing flurries especially over southern areas. It will be cold and windy with lows falling into the teens. Saturday (Spring begins at 11:32AM CT) will be mainly sunny but chilly with highs in the 30's. Sunday will be a nice day with sunshine and highs in the low 50's.

Mike

Thursday, March 18, 2010

Thursday's Weather Thoughts

Say goodbye to Spring weather and hello again to winter weather (at least for a little while).

Today ended up being the warmest day of this current mild streak as highs reached into the 70's at North Platte and Imperial. But a cold front has already crossed much of the area, and colder air will rapidly begin to overspread Greater Nebraska on gusty winds.

Precipitation may begin as a bit of rain, but will quickly change to snow as the colder air pours in. By sunrise tomorrow, it will be snowing moderate to heavy with temperatures hovering around freezing, and winds gusting to 35mph will blow the snow around reducing visibilities. We may even hear a rumble or two of thunder is some of the heavier snow bands.

Accumulations will range from about 1 to 3 inches around Valentine and Ainsworth, to as much as 3 to 6 inches from Ogallala to North Platte and to Broken Bow. The heaviest of the snow will be over by noon, but some lingering light snow will continue into tomorrow evening. Winds will also begin to diminish by evening a bit.

Stay tuned to News 2 for the latest on this winter weather situation.

Mike

Wednesday, March 17, 2010

Wednesday's Weather Thoughts

After the morning fog burnt off by late morning, temperatures responded rapidly to the sunshine and rose into the upper 50’s to mid 60’s in some areas. Tonight will be clear and not quite as cold as it has been of late with lows bottoming out in the upper 20’s.

Thursday will be another spring-like day with partly sunny skies and highs near or a bit above 60. That is where the spring preview unfortunately ends.

Beginning Thursday night, an arctic cold front will cross Greater Nebraska ushering in much colder air, and by Friday temperatures will be 20 to 20 degrees colder than Thursday. Additionally, an area of low pressure developing over Colorado will drop southeastward towards the Oklahoma Panhandle and then begin to trek eastward. This low will throw moisture over the area from Thursday night through Friday night. Initially, temperatures will be warm enough for rain over many areas, but as the colder air rushes in the rain will mix with and change to snow, first over northwestern areas, then over southwestern areas by Friday morning. The snow may fall heavily at times, and the wind will increase to over 30mph which will cause blowing snow. Accumulations right now look to be in the 2 to 4 inch range, with some northwestern areas possibly receiving more. All in all, not a very spring-like start to Spring which begins Saturday afternoon.

Stay tuned to News 2 for the latest on this winter weather event.

Mike

Tuesday, March 16, 2010

Tuesday's Weather Thoughts

It felt like Spring today after the morning chill abated, and with the sunshine highs approached and exceeded 60 except across eastern areas where clouds held highs in the 40's and 50's.

Tonight will be another cold night, and under clear skies and light winds lows will fall well into the 20's. Wednesday is shaping up to be a beautiful day for St. Patrick's Day with deep blue skies and high exceeding 60 in several areas. Thursday will bring much of the same.

However, big changes are coming beginning Thursday night and especially Friday as an arctic cold front crossed the area. As much colder air filters in during Friday, low pressure will develop over the Oklahoma Panhandle and rain will break on late Thursday night. However, this rain will change to snow during Friday, first in northern areas and then in southwestern areas a bit later. Accumulation is likely and it may be significant meaning several inches may fall. The wind will increase as well so blowing snow may become a problem later Friday and Friday night.

Please stay tuned to News 2 for the latest on this storm situation.

Mike

Monday, March 15, 2010

Monday's Weather Thoughts

We didn’t break out into sunshine as much as I thought we would this weekend and today as the low from last week moved more slowly than anticipated, as did an area of high pressure that was expected to drop down from the northern Plains. But the low and high are finally on the move, and a westerly component to the wind will help get rid of the clouds over Greater Nebraska tonight, but they may be tougher to get rid of over eastern sections.

Tuesday should feature more sun and milder temperatures as the high begins to exert more influence. Wednesday and Thursday should be quite nice with sun and highs approaching the 60 degree mark.

By Friday, a storm taking shape over Colorado may bring us some rain and snow, which could be significant as colder air moves in behind a cold front during Friday. Stay tuned for more on this storm as we go through the week.

Mike

Friday, March 12, 2010

Friday's Weather Thoughts (Weekend Outlook)

Here comes the sun! After 5 days of stormy weather that included heavy rain, strong winds and a bit of snow, the weather this weekend will be decidedly more tranquil.

The storm system that caused the problems is now located over the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys and is moving slowly eastward. Spokes of energy wrapping around the system are still affecting Greater Nebraska in the form of clouds, gusty winds and a few rain and snow showers. However, skies will begin to clear from west to east overnight into Saturday, and sunshine and light winds tomorrow, especially over western areas, will help highs approach 50 degrees.

Sunday will be similar weather-wise though highs may be a few degrees cooler. Next week looks nice as well, with the next chance of any precipitation not expected until perhaps the very end of next week or next weekend.

Mike

Thursday, March 11, 2010

Thursday's weather thoughts

If we can get through tonight and one more day of bad weather tomorrow, the weather news beginning this weekend is looking much better.

After this morning’s snow around North Platte on northward, we didn’t see much in the way of snow this afternoon, but we did have lots of wind as winds gusted up and over 40mph across Greater Nebraska. The wind will continue tonight and tomorrow, and as low pressure over Iowa begins to move southwestward overnight, bands of snow will back westward so areas from North Platte on north and east can expect to see at least some snow.

From Lincoln county northward to western Chery county, anywhere from a trace to 2 inches is possible. From eastern Cherry county to Custer County, 2 to 4 inches could fall in some of the heavier snow bands. And further northeast around Ainsworth and Butte, 4 inches or more will fall as those areas will be in the heaviest snow bands for a longer length of time. Areas like Ogallala and Imperial may see little if any snow at all.

The gusty winds will compound matters as blowing and drifting snow will cause reduced visibilities and travel problems so be careful, especially if you need to go outside in areas east of North Platte. The snow will end from west to east during Friday, and by Saturday, we will finally break out into a fair weather pattern that will last several days.

Stay tuned to News 2 for updates as they are

Mike

Wednesday, March 10, 2010

Wednesday Weather Thoughts

Our stormy period continues with yet another area of low pressure taking aim on Greater Nebraska.

The snow of today was caused by the low that has been plaguing the region since Sunday night. It is now located over Iowa and is weakening. Unfortunately, a new low is forming over north-central Oklahoma, and this low will absorb the Iowa low and become quite potent as it moves northeastward toward northeast Kansas/northwest Missouri tomorrow morning. Occasional snow will continue tonight into tomorrow as the two lows combine. It will also become windy later tonight and especially tomorrow, and wind gusts could approach 40mph at times.

A heavy band of snow will form to the northwest of the new low, and where this sets up it could cause several inches of snow. Right now, it appears that the greatest threat for heavy snow is over central and eastern Nebraska, where even some rain will fall as temperatures will be a bit milder. However, the low will meander or stall tomorrow night through Friday morning, and the heavier band may begin to move westward so snow may increase especially across the eastern parts of our viewing area later tomorrow through Friday morning.

This storm will be monitored for any shifts in track of the heaviest snow, so please stay tuned to News 2 in case anything changes.

Mike

Tuesday, March 9, 2010

Tuesday Weather Thoughts

The heaviest of the rain is behind us, but the storm is far from over!
After well over an inch of rain fell over southwestern Nebraska since yesterday, the precipitation became more spotty today as low pressure meandered over Kansas. However, streams will continue to rise through Wednesday so watch for some minor flooding, especially along the North Platte River where a Flood Warning is in effect beginning Wednesday morning.

The low will move northeastward into Iowa by Wednesday morning, and the threat of precipitation will continue overnight into Wednesday. Since colder air has now moved into the region, more snow than rain can be expected overnight, with a mix during Wednesday.

A new low will form over central Kansas by Wednesday night, and by Thursday will have absorbed the Iowa low as it spins over northwestern Missouri. This low will become quite potent, and winds will increase Wednesday night and by Thursday windy conditions will prevail. Precipitation will continue across Greater Nebraska as the low strengthens, but there is some question as to whether the precipitation (snow or a mix of rain and snow) will be light or perhaps a bit heavier causing some accumulation of snow. Highs through Thursday will be in the 30’s with lows in the 20’s, so please watch for slippery spots both tonight and Wednesday night. Stay tuned to News 2 for the latest on the storm.

Mike

Monday, March 8, 2010

Monday's Weather

The weather over Greater Nebraska for the rest of the workweek can best be described by one word – YUCK!!! A very slow moving storm (actually two storms eventually merging) will affect the area through Friday as it moves eastward.

Rain, some heavy, will fall overnight through Tuesday, and since the ground is still frozen the water will runoff quickly, causing ponding on roads and perhaps some quick rises on streams. A Flood Watch is in effect through later Tuesday night. Temperatures will slowly fall to about 40 by morning, then remain steady or fall slowly to about 35 by Tuesday evening.

By later Tuesday, as it turns colder, the rain may begin to mix with, or even change to snow, especially in areas like the Panhandle and the Sandhills. The precipitation will then continue at varying rates through Friday, and some accumulation is possible by the time the storm loses its grip on Saturday. Right now, the weekend is looking better with sunny skies and temperatures in the 40's.
Stay tuned to News 2 for the latest updates.

Mike

Friday, March 5, 2010

Friday Weather (Weekend Preview)

What a difference a day makes! Although the rain held off for much of the day, the clouds and breezy conditions made it feel much chillier than it has been. As an area of low pressure over Northeastern Colorado continues to push eastward, rain, a few thunderstorms, and even some freezing rain and snow will affect the viewing area overnight.

Rain and thunderstorms are pushing northward from northwestern Kansas, and while anybody can hear a rumble of thunder tonight, the areas most susceptible to heavier thunderstorms with some gusty winds, heay rain and hail are from a line from North Platte to Broken Bow south and eastward. Some snow will fall over the Panhandle counties, and areas in the northwestern Panhandle could pick up a couple of inches. Some freezing rain may develop over the far northern counties such as Northern Cherry as temperatures drop later tonight as the rain continues.

The low will begin to pass to the east of Greater Nebraska tomorrow and skies will begin to clear, but areas to the northeast will hang onto clouds longer while areas to the southwest will clear earlier. Temperatures will climb into the 40’s and the los 50’s was sunshine is more prevalent. Sunday is also looking nice, but the next round of unsettled weather will arrive by Monday.

Mike

Thursday, March 4, 2010

Thursday Weather

Our streak of beautiful weather will come to an end on Friday as low pressure tracks near the area and bring clouds, rain, and chillier temperatures. Today was very nice during the afternoon as sunshine and temperatures in the 50’s, and even one or two 60’s was a preview of Spring.

The rain on Friday will occur mainly during the afternoon and evening, though some drizzle cannot be ruled out during the morning. Most of the rain should be light but some heavier showers may occur, especially over southwestern parts of the viewing area. It will be breezy as well with winds gusting to 25mph. Temperatures will remain in the 40's during the afternoon.

Skies should clear early Saturday morning allowing for another nice afternoon with temperatures in the 50’s. Sunday is looking mild but clouds will increase during the afternoon ahead of the next system set to affect us from Sunday night through at least Tuesday. More on this storm on Friday

Mike

Wednesday, March 3, 2010

Wednesday Weather

Spring fever is in full swing around Greater Nebraska as abundant sunshine and highs in the 50's in many areas made being outside quite comfortable. And Thursday will be even milder as highs will approach or exceed the mid 50's with sunshine, and I wouldn't be surprised to see a 60 degree reading or two.

This nice weather will be briefly interrupted on Friday as a system passing by to our north drags a front across the area, producing some showers and perhaps some steady rain for a time Friday afternoon and night. Clouds will hold temperatures down into the low 40's so it will feel much chillier after the milder temperatures we've experienced.

The weekend is still looking nice with partly sunny skies and highs in the low to mid 50's. Saturday may start with clouds and a few lingering showers, especially over northern and eastern areas, but the afternoon should be quite nice everywhere in the viewing area. Sunday is looking similar to tomorrow, but clouds arriving late in the afternoon will signal an end to the nice weather as what may be a significant storm begins to affect the region. This storm may bring rain or a combination of rain and snow from Monday through Wednesday next week. More on that storm as we get toward Friday.

Mike

Tuesday, March 2, 2010

Tuesday Weather

Today was the first day of what looks to be an extended period of milder weather as any real cold arctic air will be bottled up in Canada for the foreseeable future.
A ridge of high pressure will move eastward out of the Rockies and basically sit right over Greater Nebraska for the next couple of days. This ridge will bring fair weather with mainly sunny skies, and the milder temperatures will help to melt more of the snow that is still on the ground. Wednesday will se highs in the 40's and perhaps some 50's in some areas, and Thursday is looking even milder with highs in the 50's commonplace around the region. Winds will be light on Wednesday, but Thursday will be breezy ahead of a low that will ride to our north, dragging a front into the area from the west.

This front will be enough to cause some light rain or showers across the region during the day on Friday. Temperatures on Friday will be a bit cooler due to the clouds and rain, but will still be about average for the time of the year. The weekend right now is looking spectacular, with sunny skies and temperatures in the 50's. The next chance of any significant precipitation will come on Monday and Tuesday from a potentially important storm that will develop over Colorado.

Monday, March 1, 2010

Severe Weather Season

It's already March 1st and our focus will begin to shift away from winter weather to severe weather, and while the bulk of Greater Nebraska's severe weather comes a bit later, we need to be prepared for whenever it strikes. Severe Weather Awareness Week is only a few weeks away - March 22nd to March 26th, and the News 2 Team will be covering important topics during that week to help you be better prepared for this years severe weather season.

Mike

Monday Weather

We we added to our snow totals over the last couple of days, bringing us a bit closer to breaking the record for the snowiest winter ever in North Platte. It appears we now need 9 inches of snow to tie that record so we have a shot at doing so.
The next few days will be much better weather–wise as some sunshine and temperatures that are a bit milder will be a break from the cold and snow of the last couple of days. Our next chance of precipitation, mainly rain, looks to come around Friday as a system passes by to our north.
The weekend from this far out is looking very nice with sunshine and temperatures mainly in the 40's.

Mike